谁会想到苏联在一瞬间轰然坍塌?

谁会想到苏联在一瞬间轰然坍塌?

2016-11-15 风滚草

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文/蔡慎坤     微信公号:cskun1989

8月19日,是前苏联保守派发动政变25周年纪念日。1991年8月19日,政变军队软禁了力主改革的苏共总书记戈尔巴乔夫,政变主导者万万没有想到,军队在开进莫斯科途中受到数万民众的阻挡和拦截,当时主政莫斯科的叶利钦在这个历史时刻,显示了真正的男儿本色,勇敢地走出议会大厦,登上坦克,向全俄军民发出了改写苏联历史乃至世界历史的讲话。

叶利钦说:“在这个艰难的抉择时刻,请谨记你们对人民的誓言。你们的枪口不能够向着人民,俄罗斯军队的荣誉绝不能染上人民的鲜血”。叶利钦的讲话,扭转了苏联保守派企图通过军事政变恢复专制统治的冒险行径。

当苏军官兵听到全苏军人双亲委员会主席团不要参加政变的呼吁时;当苏军官兵看到“战士母亲协会”的女士手中“孩子们回家去”的纸牌时,苏军官兵明白他们更应当服从人民的意志,听从母亲的召唤,决不能向自己的同胞开枪,让自己的人民流血。

于是,气氛紧张的莫斯科街头出现了许多令人意想不到的场面:有军官跳上装甲车顶,对人群宣布:“我们是来维持首都秩序的,不是来镇压人民的!看,我的枪里没有子弹,我们的步兵战车里没有炮弹”!

有军官甚至抗议民众爬上坦克展示抗议标语,任由“市民和外国记者给军人送香烟、冰激淋和罐装外国啤酒”,听任“士兵和莫斯科的姑娘们在坦克上并排坐着,有说有笑,姑娘们穿着士兵的军大衣,把鲜花插在坦克的炮口上”。

这场政变兵变很快出现了戏剧性的场面,海军司令切尔那温海军元帅公开谴责政变,空军司令沙波什尼科夫公开发表了“不用武力反对人民”的声明,空降兵司令格拉乔夫和“阿尔法”部队指挥官卡尔普欣拒绝执行强攻命令。图拉空降师、塔曼师和内务部所属部队官兵选择了阵前倒戈,加入到保卫俄议会大楼的行动中。

国防部长亚佐夫顶着紧急状态委员会“军队为什么原地不动?它应当显示力量”的指责,始终不肯下达驱散抗议人群的命令。并在8月21日凌晨毅然决定,军队退出政变集团的“游戏”,并且下令军队撤出莫斯科返回原驻地。

8.19政变兵变成为压垮苏联的最后一棵稻草,同年12月庞大的苏联解体,东欧社会主义阵营纷纷倒戈,统治苏联数十年的强硬政权几乎在一瞬间轰然坍塌。苏军将领宁可自杀也不肯下令向民众开枪,谱写了人类历史上最美丽的音符,让世界见识了什么才是真正的苏联男儿。

当时在西方,无论专家、学者、官员或是政客们都没有预料到整个苏维埃联盟及其专制政权会在一夜之间分崩离析。苏联国内异议分子同样也没有预计到这一点。1985年,当米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫成为总书记时,他的同代人完全没有预计到一场危机已经到来。虽然围绕苏联体制中存在问题的规模和深度有着各种争论,但没有人想到这些麻烦会危及体制的生命,至少不会这么快。

有人说戈尔巴乔夫的改革以苏联解体而失败,但戈尔巴乔夫的新思维促进了东欧的民主化,让俄罗斯最终告别了极权主义。俄罗斯现在碰到的最大障碍是普京,叶利钦开启的民主化,到了普京时代完全停滞,甚至可以说是倒退了。只有普京头上神秘的光环散去,俄罗斯才会重新走上正道与世界同步。

俄罗斯政治史有着浓重的集权色彩,从彼得大帝到叶卡捷琳娜女皇再到沙皇亚历山大,俄罗斯人对强势君主也是情有独钟。普京在干满两届总统后修改宪法,再度登基,显然有其政治目的和野心,普京再干满两届十二年任期,他统治俄罗斯的时间将超过前苏联暴君斯大林,这样的硬汉长期统治俄罗斯,对俄罗斯人来说,并不是一桩幸事,俄罗斯人将为普京付出更大更多的代价。

 

俄罗斯的今天,告诉我们一个道理,一个民族一旦习惯了被奴役,这个民族从心底里就离不开皇帝。实际上,一个政权的稳定,取决于人民的信任程度;人民的信任程度,又取决于人民对政府服务的满意程度和政府自身的廉洁程度,人民对政府服务的满意程度和政府自身的廉洁程度,又取决于体制的好坏以及人民参政议政监督政党的广度和深度!

一百多年来,被帝国主义侵略的国家,有的借助文明改变了体制,有的送走了共和请来了皇帝。推翻封建帝制,并不意味着人民真正站起来了,真正站起来的人民是靠选票而不是靠暴力来选择前方的道路,一个政权有没有自信,也要看是否有勇气让人民选择前方的道路。

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